UEFA Europa League
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Ventspils Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips
Vitoria Guimaraes have won their last seven matches and can make it eight against Ventspils at the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. The Portuguese club won the 1st leg 3-0 in Latvia, with another dominant performance in the UEFA Europa League likely due to Ventspils’ struggles on the road.
Vitoria de Guimaraes SC Form & Team News
Vitoria Guimaraes finished fifth in the Portuguese Primeria Liga last season to earn a spot in the UEFA Europa League qualifiers. Manager Luís Castro moved to Shakhtar Donetsk after in season in charge with former Moreirense manager Ivo Vieira taking over.
Top scorer Tozé moved to Al-Nasr but the club have made some smart signings. These include central defender Valerii Bondarenko, central midfielder Pêpê and the promotion of giant Burkina Faso centre back Edmond Tapsoba.
Guimaraes lost their first pre-season friendly but have won seven straight since. They include 1-0 and 4-0 wins against Jeunesse d’Esch in the 2nd round of the Europa League qualifiers and a 1-0 victory against Feirense in the Portuguese League Cup.
The 1st leg against Ventspils in Latvia resulted in a comfortable 3-0 win. Davidson headed in the opener, Pêpê’s long range strike made it 2-0 and Joseph Amoah sealed the deal in a result rarely in doubt.
Goalkeeper Jhonatan is injured alongside striker Aziz, but they won’t be misses as Ivo Vieira has a strong squad at his disposal. 20-year-old Edmond Tapsoba has joined a defence that includes Pedrão, Rafa Soares and Falaye Sacko while the attack consisting of Rochinha, Davidson and Alexandre Guedes will be a handful for Ventspils’ weak defence.
Vitoria Guimaraes are very short priced favourites at 1.12 so we have to turn to the handicap markets for a bigger price. Taking the Portuguese club in the -1 handicap is paying 1.40, -2 handicap is 2.10 and -3 handicap can be backed at 3.30. Vitoria Guimaraes in the win to nil market is paying 1.61 which is fine for accumulators.
FK Ventspils Form & Team News
Ventspils got past Albanian minnows Teuta 4-0 on aggregate in the 1st round and Maltese club Gzira 6-2 in the 2nd round. The Latvian club were outplayed in both away matches which mirrors their recent form on the road.
Igor Klosovs’ side have lost four of their last six away matches in all competitions and conceded four goals in three of them. Ventspils were outmatched in the 1st leg against Vitoria Guimaraes despite playing at home, a worrying sign ahead of the 2nd leg in Portugal.
Goalkeeper Kostiantyn Makhnovskyi was sent off in the dying stages in the 2nd leg against Gzira and should return from suspension here. Midfielder Jevgenijs Kazacoks, winger Tosin Aiyegun and striker Mykhailo Serhiichuk have been the most productive players in the Europa League this season but are likely to find it tough against a strong Guimaraes defence.
Ventspils are huge outsiders against Vitoria Guimaraes and can be backed at 20.00 to win and 8.00 to claim a draw.
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Ventspils Head to Head
These clubs have met on one occasion, the 3-0 win to Vitoria Guimaraes at the Ventspils Central Stadium last week. It was largely one way traffic, the Portuguese club with more shots (22-9) and shots on target (12-3).
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Ventspils Match Up
Vitoria Guimaraes have been ruthless in recent matches played in Guimaraes, scoring 14 goals across three matches including a 4-0 win against Jeunesse d’Esch in the previous round of the Europa League.
Guimaraes had 24 attempts with 10 on target in that match and restricted the Luxembourg club to zero shots on target. Ventspils have struggled on the road in the Europa League this season, managing 13 shots while giving up 39 shots.
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Ventspils Key Statistics
- Vitoria Guimaraes have won their last 7 matches in all competitions.
- Vitoria Guimaraes have kept 5 consecutive clean sheets in all competitions.
- Vitoria Guimaraes took 24 shots in their last home match (UEFA Europa League).
- Ventspils have conceded 39 shots in their last 2 away matches (UEFA Europa League).
- Ventspils have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches (all competitions).
- Ventspils have conceded 4 goals in 3 of their last 6 away matches in all competitions.
Vitoria Guimaraes crushed Jeunesse d’Esch 4-0 in their last home match and should be too strong once again. Ventspils are poor on the road and another heavy defeat is likely.
Best Bet: Vitoria Guimaraes -2 @ 2.10 at bet365 – 4 Units
Value Bet: Vitoria Guimaraes -3 @ 3.30 at bet365 – 1 Unit
Correct Score Tip: Guimaraes 4-0 @ 9.00 at bet365 – 1 Unit